Taiwan & HK: Butterfly Wings & Chaos? Investment Conclusion. The Taiwanese dollar (TWD) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) are under upward pressure. There are idiosyncratic reasons for this delved into below. But the real culprit is the fall of confidence in the... Read More
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08 Mar 25
Taiwan- Canary in the Coal Mine
Taiwan- Canary in the Coal Mine The disruption of the North Atlantic Alliance and the Liberal World Order are being acted upon by Beijing. Beijing beleives that these events reinforce its conviction that democracy is too decadent to defend itself and that the US will not... Read More
08 Jan 25
Astern!
#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare
We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro ... Read More
26 Dec 24
China PLA Purge & S. Korean Constutuionl Crisis.
The relevance of China purges and Korean Constitutional crisis to investors: China - Purge. This brings to 20 the senior officer purged in the last 18 months. The purpose is bring the PLA more under Xi’s direct control. It helps tranform the PLA into a more honed ... Read More
25 Jan 24
Things I Believe - Without Proof
#China#Trump#Geopolitics#Ukraine#Middle East#Populism#Taiwan#Grayzone Warfare#Strategy Archive#Europe#US Dollar#Democracy#Investments#European Central Bank#Rates#Policies#Confrontation
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
14 Jan 24
Taiwan Elections - Like No Other
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
12 Jan 24
Macro Trilogy
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
30 Nov 23
The Wormhole Picture Of
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
17 Oct 22
China - The Seven Sorrows Of China
#Politics#China#Taiwan#Strategy Archive#Demography#COVID-19#Productivity#Housing Market#State-Owned Enterprises#President Xi Jinping#Party Leadership#Military Conflict#Consumer Markets#Population Policy
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Aug 22
China Taiwan - Anatomy Of A Crisis
#Politics#China#Ukraine#Taiwan#Strategy Archive#Economy#International Relations#Military#PLA (People's Liberation Army)#Bohai Sea#Yellow Sea
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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