A short history of 2025 - starting with how the reign of Trump could go wrong or right and then applying the same doomster methodology to reading the cards for Xi and Putin.......finishing with a modest forecast for the little old UK. Read More
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23 Dec 24
CNBC: Europe: Steve & I on whether the only word we need to learn to pronounce next year is "Trump" to which we added Xi, Putin ...
#US#Protectionism#Tariffs#Sanctions#Oil#China#US Election#Trump#Monetary Policy#Russia#Ukraine#US Fed#Chairman Powell#France#Japan#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Hezbollah#Macro Uncertainty#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#Turkey#French Sovereign Debt#French Government#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve
28 Nov 24
Russia Rough Update
Investment Conclusion. Since “Incidentally” was published ( Incidentally 11252024) explaining how things were going to get rough for Russia because of new sanctions on Russia’s financial system and the dark fleet, things have indeed started getting rough for Russia. T... Read More
25 Nov 24
RTHK - The Close with Carolyn Wright & Xiaolin Chen
#Trade#Tariffs#Trump#Monetary Policy#Ukraine#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#Trump Victory#Trump Cabinet#Appointees#Trump Policy
RTHK the close discussion of China - impacts of Trump appointments & Tariffs and the never ending question of whether Chinese stimulus is fit for purpose. Read More
25 Nov 24
The Micro Podcast on Macro that matters to markets
#Trade#Greyzone Warfare#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Energy#Trump#Geopolitics#Environment#Ukraine#US Fed#Israel#Iran#Macro Uncertainty#Trump Victory#Escalation
David Roche: Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast for Macro that matters to Markets: Moving on from Trump cabinet appointments to policy the Trump Administration will pursue. I focus on two areas Tariffs and Ukraine - i look at likely policy choices and implications. Th... Read More
18 Nov 24
Portfolio Implications of Trump II
#World#EU#Technology#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Tariffs#Industrial Raw Materials#US Election#Trump#Monetary Policy#Geopolitics#Volatility#Recession#Ukraine#US Fed#Draghi#EU Commission#EU Parliament#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Trump Victory
The Second Trump Administration stands up-front and central to any market forecast this year. It is not an add-on to any existing macro picture or cycle. It is hard not to predict the future without looking through a mirror that reflects everything you like or hate about the Ma... Read More
10 Aug 24
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
#Security#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Water
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More
25 Jan 24
Things I Believe - Without Proof
#China#Trump#Geopolitics#Ukraine#Middle East#Populism#Taiwan#Grayzone Warfare#Strategy Archive#Europe#US Dollar#Democracy#Investments#European Central Bank#Rates#Policies#Confrontation
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
12 Jan 24
Macro Trilogy
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
30 Nov 23
The Wormhole Picture Of
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
27 Oct 23
Dark Clouds
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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